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So just how to read this is that whenever we are under twenty% to the X-axis (less than 20% drinking water inside the oil), There may be zero around the y-axis (the water won't stream from the rock in the slightest degree). As we get over 20% water saturation, the circulation of water boosts speedily, until eventually previously mentioned 80% water, there isn't any movement of oil at all.
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Now, This can be dropping, presumably as the h2o guiding the flood front has greater and higher water cut with time, as well as the water handling services are limited. If we extrapolate out the orange line to nowadays, only fifty five% of output could well be coming from guiding the flood entrance.
This is from the numerical simulation of the event of your reservoir eventually. Having said that, Saudi Aramco historical past-matches their reservoir versions with considerable quantities of very well log information, so it is most likely a fairly accurate photograph in the background of the sphere. The variable getting plotted is h2o saturation - that is The proportion on the pore quantity inside the rock that is definitely stuffed with h2o, in lieu of oil. In Ghawar, the reservoir stress has actually been managed this sort of that there's no gasoline cap (the gasoline is dissolved within the oil), and so the pores are full of oil, drinking water, or a mixture.
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Now, how much time ahead of the crimson zone is long gone? Let me remind you of your simulation picture once again, to save lots of on scrolling: